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Tendency survey for construction industry


pil Select from table (KBYG4)


The confidence indicator (next 3 months) by seasonal adjustment, indicator and time
Unit: Per cent
Confidence indicator, totalBuilding, total, employment expectationsCivil engineering, employment expectationsConstruction industry, total, employment expectationsStocks of orders
Non-seasonally adjusted
2008M12-46-45-51-46-45
2009M01-47-44-48-45-48
2009M02-48-44-44-44-53
2009M03-48-41-9-35-61
2009M04-40-300-24-56
2009M05-38-21-17-20-56
2009M06-35-19-21-19-50
2009M07-36-23-22-23-50
2009M08-38-26-11-23-54
2009M09-45-34-21-31-59
2009M10-48-35-34-35-60
2009M11-51-42-39-41-60
2009M12-49-38-49-40-58
2010M01-51-36-46-38-64
2010M02-54-38-38-38-71
2010M03-44-186-14-74
2010M04-270203-57
2010M05-256126-56
2010M06-26353-54
2010M07-23333-49
2010M08-24-3-5-3-44
Seasonally adjusted
2008M12-36-31-26-30-43
2009M01-39-32-23-31-47
2009M02-40-37-23-33-45
2009M03-44-39-26-36-52
2009M04-45-38-27-36-55
2009M05-45-35-39-34-55
2009M06-42-28-33-29-54
2009M07-45-33-32-33-55
2009M08-45-33-16-30-62
2009M09-48-34-24-32-63
2009M10-48-33-27-32-63
2009M11-44-30-21-29-58
2009M12-39-24-23-24-56
2010M01-42-24-21-24-61
2010M02-45-30-18-26-63
2010M03-39-15-8-14-66
2010M04-32-8-11-9-55
2010M05-32-8-9-8-57
2010M06-33-7-7-8-57
2010M07-32-8-6-8-56
2010M08-32-10-10-11-52
pil Select from table (KBYG4)


pil Related tables in the StatBank


Purpose and history
The purpose of the tendency survey for the construction industry is to provide a fast and up-to-date picture of conditions and expectations in the construction industry.

As from the 1st quarter of 1970 Statistics Denmark has conducted a tendency survey for the construction industry. From 1970 to 1997 the tendency survey was conducted quarterly.

To harmonize with the surveys conducted by other EU member states, the Danish tendency survey has been conducted monthly since January 1998. This change also implied that further questions were added to the survey.

Description of Contents
The purpose is to provide data on some essential short-term economic factors within the construction industry. The tendency survey is thus a qualitative assessment of both actual conditions and expectations of the next 3-month period. The most important variables are employment, sales, prices, new orders and limits to production.

Statistical Concepts
Population: The population of the tendency survey is restricted to private enterprises within the construction industry whose activities are classified to F of NACE rev. 2. The sample survey is based on workplaces created by assigning business units with the same industrial classification within a business establishment to a reporting unit. Data for the tendency survey is collected from about 850 enterprises representing about 1/3 of total employment in the construction industry. Enterprises having 4 employees or under are not selected for the survey, whereas enterprises with 5 employees or over are randomly selected. There is a greater probability for an enterprise to be selected the greater the number of employees.

Questions asked in the tendency survey: Data for the tendency survey is collected monthly. The respondents are asked questions regarding employment, sales and prices and their expectations of the next three months and the actual conditions in relation to the previous 3-month period. Other questions concern, e.g. the volume of orders at the end of the month under survey. The respondents are also asked to indicate if there are any reductions in the production.

Raised figures: The value of the enterprises' replies is proportionate with their respective employment size. Employment data are updated quarterly. The weighted figures collected from the enterprises are published as relative figures, e.g. 35 pct. larger, 50 pct. unchanged and 15 pct. lower for sales in the period under survey, compared to sales in the preceding period. This implies that enterprises accounting for 35 pct. of total employment have replied larger sales, whereas enterprises accounting for 15 pct. of total employment have replied lower sales.

Balance figures are calculated as the difference between percentage figures for "larger" and "lower" and must be interpreted as the tendency. A balance figure of, e.g. +20 pct. does not indicate an expected growth of 20 pct. Instead, the figure indicates that an increase in sales (net) is expected in enterprises accounting for 20 pct. of total employment in the construction industry.

The composite short-term indicator indicates an average of the respondents' employment expectations of the quarter to come and actual volume of orders at the end of the quarter under survey.

The seasonally adjusted indicator is published monthly as a supplement to the monthly non-seasonally adjusted short-term indicator. Previously, the seasonally adjusted indicator was published quarterly, but from January 2001 sufficient data series are available, implying that the indicator is published every month. The seasonal adjustment is effected by means of the method X-12.

The published statistics cover 8 trades: Construction of bulidings, Civil engeneering, Electrical installation etc., Plumbing, heat and air-conditioning installation, Joinery installation etc., Painting and Glazing etc., Bricklayers, Other specialized construction activities etc. The data from the tendency survey are also analysed by 5 building and construction activities. These activities comprise House building, Civil Engeneering, Other kinds of buildings, Total building, total Construction industry.

pil  Read more about the statistics on 'Construction industry: tendency survey' in our Declarations of contents

Releases
Last updated: 30 August 2010
Scheduled releases: 29 September 2010 for the period September 2010

Contact
Christian Andreasen
Telephone: + 45 39 17 30 88
Email:




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Page was updated on:
30 August 2010

Next release is expected:
29 September 2010
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